Investor Landscape Analysis

Who would invest in your company, and when is the right time?

The market for companies like yours moves, with or without you. We show where your industry stands in the investment cycle, what buyers paid recently and which investors are active: evidenced, not assumed.

10Years of transactions in view
5Investor groups compared
1Valuation band for your industry
Not only for a sale

Your company is not valued in a vacuum. The environment sets the frame.

It determines which buyers exist, what they pay and how much weight they put on quality.

Prepare an exit or succession

Which buyer groups are active, who is consolidating the industry, and is the market window open or closing?

Raise capital

Which investors fund companies of your stage and size, with what ticket and what expectations?

Sharpen your strategy

Who is acquiring in your industry and why? That shows which capabilities make your company interesting to the right buyers.

±15 %is what the position in the cycle alone shifts the valuation anchor, for an identical company.

The environment keeps changing. Whoever measures it regularly sees early when a window opens and can prepare the company in time.

Why the environment matters

The same company, a different market – a different price

Between a hot and a cold transaction market, millions can easily be at stake. Whoever knows the environment chooses the timing instead of being surprised by the market.

01

Cycle: In hot markets the multiples of the whole industry rise, in cold ones they fall, regardless of your own performance.

02

Buyer group: Strategic buyers often pay a different band than financial investors. What matters is who is active right now.

03

Quality: Cold markets reward quality more and punish weaknesses harder. Good companies still find buyers.

The principle

Every industry has its investment cycle

Interest rates, regulation, technology leaps and new buyers drive industries through phases of high and low transaction activity. Where your industry stands determines your room to maneuver.

Transaction activity and valuation levelTime →Early growthExpansionPeakCorrectionRecovery

Click a phase. Illustrative placement, industry chosen freely.

Phase 2 of 5

Expansion

The number of deals rises, strategics and private equity build platforms. Multiples pick up.

For sellers: the window opens, buyers compete. Preparing now pays off.

We describe before we assess. We only place the position in the cycle if sources support it. If sources contradict each other, both views stand side by side.
Our approach

Five building blocks – every statement with a source

The Investor Landscape Analysis is part of our BASE Research. It describes your industry from the investors' point of view. Your company is the occasion, not the subject.

01

Cycle

Where does the industry stand and what drives it: interest rates, regulation, technology, geopolitics.

Timing
02

Transactions

The most important deals of the last three years, number and volume compared to ten years.

Activity
03

Valuation band

Multiples of comparable transactions, split by strategic buyers and financial investors.

Valuation anchor
04

Investor groups

Angels, family offices, venture capital, private equity and strategics: who is active, with what ticket.

Who invests
05

Strategic buyers

Who acquires in your industry, why they fit and whether they are active right now or watching.

Who buys
What you receive

The environment at a glance

Using the example of an industrial services sector in the German-speaking mid-market.

Position in the cycle
Expansion
Sources mostly agree
Transactions 2026
38
10-year avg.: 29
Median EV/EBITDA
7.0x
last 24 months
Most active buyer group
Strategics
PE more cautious
24'1727'1830'1922'2031'2135'2226'2324'2432'2538'26last three yearsAvg. 10 years: 29
Transactions per year: Activity is above the ten-year average. The window is open as long as it lasts.
Financial investorsMedian 6.5xP10 4.5P90 8.5Strategic buyersMedian 7.5xP10 5.5P90 10.03x4x5x6x7x8x9x10x11xEV / EBITDA, last 24 months
Valuation band by buyer type: Strategics pay a higher band here if their interest is evidenced.
Investor groupActivityStage and ticketObserved behavior
Business Angelsearly stage, under €1mbarely active, the business is too capital-intensive
Family officessuccession, minority and majoritylong-term, seek stable returns
Venture Capitaldigital business models onlyinvests in software around the industry, not in the industry
Private EquityEBITDA from €3m, buy-and-buildmore cautious due to financing costs, add-ons for existing platforms
Strategic buyersmajority, regional complementactively consolidating, buying skilled staff and customer access

Illustrative example, all figures chosen freely.

From the landscape to outreach

The first link in a chain

This is how we work on every new mandate: a conversation at the start to clarify industry and goal. Then the analyses build on each other until it is clear whom we approach.

Step 1

Investor landscape

Cycle, transactions, valuation band, investor groups, strategic buyers.

What is the market like?
Step 2

Value chain and arenas

Where value is shifting and in which arena your company is interesting to buyers.

Where do you play?
Step 3

Target profiles

Which buyer and investor groups are targets, and which deliberately are not.

Who fits?
Step 4

Specific candidates

A vetted list with names, rationale and decision per candidate.

Who exactly?
Step 5

Profile and outreach

Per candidate: fit, transaction history, investment thesis, route to approach.

How to win them?
Investor landscape and company value

The environment sets the frame for every valuation

In our company valuation, the investor landscape is not one factor among many. It sets the yardstick against which your company is measured.

Anchor

Peer group and band

The multiples of comparable transactions form the band in which your company is placed.

Cycle

Adjustment for market conditions

If the anchor comes from older averages, we adjust it for today's position in the cycle.

Spread

How much quality counts

In cold markets, good and weak companies lie further apart than in hot ones.

Buyer group

Which band applies

The strategic buyer band only applies if their interest is evidenced. A single buyer's synergies are price, not value.

Learn more: Company valuation · BASE Check

AI and the investor landscape

Investors no longer ask whether, but how

AI changes who buys, what gets bought and which questions are asked in due diligence. It shows up first in the investor landscape.

New buyersPlatforms and technology groups acquire in industries they have not paid attention to so far.
Shifted bandsWhere the offering becomes replaceable by AI, the multiples of the whole industry fall. Where AI protects data and processes, they rise.
New diligence questionsInvestors expect an AI strategy, and what counts as good today is standard tomorrow.
Broader viewWe use AI for the breadth of research. The assessment stays with partners who have sold companies themselves.
Investor Landscape Analysis in three variants

As deep as your decision requires

From a picture of your industry to a vetted list of specific buyers and investors.

Basic analysis

Pure desk research
  • Position in the cycle with the driving factors
  • Transactions of the last three years, ten-year comparison
  • Valuation band by buyer type
  • Investor groups and strategic buyers
  • Workshop with expert panel
  • Specific candidates
Inquire
With roadmap

Strategic evaluation

Landscape, arenas, target profiles
  • Everything from the basic analysis
  • Value chain and arenas of your company
  • Target profiles: which buyers and investors fit, and which do not
  • Workshop with owners, management and an expert panel of our partners
  • Roadmap: which capabilities open which buyers
Inquire

Investor search

From the list to outreach
  • Everything from the strategic evaluation
  • Research of specific candidates per target profile
  • Vetted list with rationale per candidate
  • Profiles of the top candidates with outreach strategy
Inquire
Frequently asked questions

What business owners want to know about the investor landscape

Do you also value my company in the analysis?

No. The Investor Landscape Analysis describes your industry from the investors' point of view. What that means for your company is answered by the BASE Check and the company valuation. Both build on this analysis.

Where does the data come from?

From transaction databases, studies, multiple surveys and press releases. Every statement carries source, quality and date. What no source supports, we leave open instead of estimating it.

How often should the landscape be reviewed?

Before every major decision and roughly annually in moving markets. We update the analysis instead of starting anew. That makes visible how the landscape changes.

Which variant suits me?

For a picture of your industry, the basic analysis is enough. If you want to know which buyers fit your company and how to become more interesting to them, the strategic evaluation is right. If a transaction is coming up, the investor search takes you through to outreach.

Will anyone be contacted?

No. Without your approval we do not approach any buyer or investor. The analysis stays confidential.

Where does the market stand for your company?

In a non-binding intro call we clarify industry, occasion and which analysis fits your situation.

Schedule an intro call